It's always dangerous laying your reputation on the line with Oscar picks, but I eat danger for breakfast.
The 90th Academy Awards ceremony takes place on Monday (NZ time) and here are my predicted winners in the main categories, along with the Kiwis likely to take home gold.
Best Picture: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
There are nine vying for the coveted Best Picture and each are worthy, but there's only two truly tussling it out at the top - The Shape of Water and Three Billboards.
But I think Martin McDonagh's drama will win - and I want it to.
Best Director: Guillermo del Toro - The Shape of Water
Another two-horse race and while odds favour the wonderful Guillermo del Toro, there is a late surge of support for Jordan Peele and his inspired horror Get Out. But my money is still on del Toro.
Best Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Watching Sam Rockwell come out of the character-actor shadows and win every award on offer has been an unmitigated joy and to see him win the Oscar for Three Billboards will make my heart sing.
Lucky, then, that he's a sure thing.
Best Supporting Actress: Allison Janney - I, Tonya
I could watch this woman swear all day in that bad haircut. Laurie Metcalf won a few awards for her work in Lady Bird, but Janney will take the Oscar.
Best Actress: Frances McDormand - Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
I can't wait to watch another epic Frances McDormand acceptance speech. Go Mildred Hayes, take it home!
Best Actor: Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour
Will the Best Actor category bring an upset? Not a chance. Gary Oldman might as well phone it in, he has the Globe, the BAFTA and the SAG for Darkest Hour, and deserves every inch of the golden man.
Best Original Song: 'This Is Me' - The Greatest Showman
As for the New Zealanders, we're going to claim The Greatest Showman's Keala Settle. She belts home the film's anthem 'This is Me' and while technically this category gifts the statues to the songwriters, she's performing on the night and she'll get a shout-out.
Visual Effects: Weta Digital - War for the Planet of the Apes
As insane as this is, Weta Digital has never won an Oscar for their ground-breaking work on Caesar and his monkey mates in the Apes franchise. This year, I reckon Wellington will bring it home.