Oscars 2022: Kate Rodger's winner predictions

It's Oscars day and I like to leave my Academy Award picks to the very last minute.

Whatever happens, it's an incredible achievement that The Power of the Dog leads with an epic 12 nominations.

So many incredible New Zealand creatives were involved in the telling of this phenomenal story and they all deserve to feel unfathomably proud.

Dame Jane Campion is the first woman to be nominated twice for Best Director. Her domination of the awards season sailed into stormy waters after her Williams sisters gaff during her Critics Choice Awards speech, but with the Directors Guild Award and BAFTA wins, my bet is she's still the Academy's Best Director.

That will make her only the third woman in the 94-year history of the Oscars to claim the award.

I'm gutted to not be back in Los Angeles covering the big day on such a special day for New Zealand filmmaking - thanks COVID. But I'm excited to be covering all of today's awards as they beam live into the Newshub newsroom.

Before the ceremony kicks off, here are my picks of who will win the major honours - and who should.

2022 Oscars winner predictions:

  • Best Picture
    Should win: The Power of the Dog
    Will win: The Power of the Dog
  • Best Director
    Should win: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
    Will win: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
  • Best Actor
    Should win: Will Smith, King Richard
    Will win: Will Smith, King Richard
  • Best Actress
    Should win: Penélope Cruz, Parallel Mothers
    Will win: Jessica Chastain, The Eyes Of Tammy Faye
  • Best Supporting Actor
    Should win: Kodi Smit-Mcphee, The Power of the Dog
    Will win: Kodi Smit-Mcphee, The Power of the Dog
  • Best Supporting Actress
    Should win: Ariana Debose, West Side Story
    Will win: Ariana Debose, West Side Story
  • Best Adapted Screenplay
    Should win: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
    Will win: Sian Heder, Coda
  • Best International Feature
    Should win: Drive My Car (Japan)
    Will win: Drive My Car (Japan)
  • Best Animated Feature
    Should win: The Mitchells vs. The Machines 
    Will win: The Mitchells vs. The Machines 
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