Coronavirus: Experts concerned about number of cases day before Auckland lockdown lifts

With just a little more than a day to go before Auckland is due to move into alert level 2, some experts are concerned about the number of cases still being recorded.

On Saturday, there were 13 with two in managed isolation and 11 in the Auckland community. But Aucklanders seem comfortable there won't be any changes to the plan to level down. 

"It was kind of expected. She said the cases were going to keep rising and then come off a little bit," said one person.

"They're connected to the cluster so, I'm not overly concerned," said another.

Six of Saturday's cases are linked to the Mt Roskill Evangelical Fellowship church and four of those from one household.

Four are contacts of other confirmed cases and the one remaining positive case hasn't been linked yet, but is under investigation. 

"I think there is some cause for concern. You know the numbers were always going to jump around so you know we are dealing with one cluster," said Professor Shaun Hendy, the director of Te Punaha Matatini.

"It's quite a sprawling cluster so we were always going to have these numbers jump around particularly when there are families involved, however, we're still having cases present and turn up through testing."

Daily community cases over the last week.
Daily community cases over the last week. Photo credit: Newshub.

If you track the community transmission cases from the past week, you can see what he's talking about. Prof Hendy says he still considers them relatively flat.  

But he says there is a risk that going into level 2 with much higher numbers than we did last time around could mean a higher risk of yo-yo-ing back to level 3. 

"The alert levels are designed to bring these numbers down and alert level 2 won't be as effective as level 3 at doing that, so there is the risk that numbers might start to rise again."

Professor of Public Health Michael Baker says we need to be cautious. 

"If we move to level 2 on Monday we may see continuing cases, we might even see an increase over time, so I think we have to be very cautious at this stage."

Prof Baker says we need to enter alert level 2 with additional controls and the obvious one is mandatory mass-masking indoors.  

"People not just wearing masks on public transport but also in workplaces, in schools, in shopping areas and in all social meeting places. "

Testing stations in Auckland's Mangere and Otara both had a steady stream of cars on Saturday with a two-day pop-up testing station at a Mangere church helping encourage symptomatic and asymptomatic people to get tested. 

"We've been getting good feedback from some of the people that are coming through to get tested, they've been saying that their leaders of their churches have been advising and encouraging them to come in, which is awesome," says Joe Glassie-Rasmussen, clinical lead at the Mangere pop-up testing station.