Weather: Tropical low in Coral Sea likely to form cyclone, could threaten North Island

MetService warns all eyes are now on the tropics as a tropical low in the Coral Sea is likely to form into a cyclone over the next few days.

MetService said the tropical cyclone is expected to move towards the south of New Caledonia and potentially to the far north of New Zealand next weekend.

"If this system does pass close to the North Island, it will be another significant weather event potentially affecting vulnerable areas which are still recovering from recent severe weather," MetService said in a statement on Monday.

MetService meteorologist Jessie Owen said the impact of the tropical cyclone will be dependent on which path it would take. It could include strong winds, heavy winds and large swells on the eastern coasts if it goes near the North Island.

"We will have a much better idea about the path this system will take, and any related severe weather, in another couple of days once it has formed," Owen said.

MetService has lifted all the severe weather watches and warnings across the country after a week of intense weather for both the North and South Islands.

The forecaster said a high pressure developing in the west of Aotearoa is expected to bring more settled weather over the next few days.

On Wednesday, a cold front is expected to move up the east coast and bring showers and lower temperatures.

"The front that moved up the country on Sunday has weakened and will clear the North Island tonight, taking with it the humid air which has been bringing heavy rain to northern areas and hot temperatures to the south. It should start to feel a bit cooler this week," Owen said.

MetService said it will continue to monitor the tropical low and provide updates when more information is available.

You can track the tropical low activity here.