2020 election year predictions

By The Spinoff staff and contributors

2019 is history. Shifting effortlessly into prophesy mode, The Spinoff's gallant politics-watchers plunge headlong into the crystal ball.

National and NZ First will shit-talk each other all year and then form a Government after the election. - Alex Braae

Judith Collins will defect from the National Party to lead ACT and take that party to 3 percent at the next election. She won’t actually do this but if National wants an electorate partner with more than one vote this would be a plan. Collins would be formidable. - Linda Clark 

The Māori Party replaces New Zealand First as kuīni maker. - Emma Espiner

Chlöe Swarbrick will blaze up in Parliament. The cannabis referendum will win, you see. - Morgan Godfery

Chloe Swarbrick
Chloe Swarbrick - will she blaze up in Parliament? Photo credit: The AM Show

Simon Bridges will end up Prime Minister. - Liam Hehir

International economic woes will bite more directly on NZ. - Stephen Jacobi

Gone By Lunchtime is again crowned New Zealand’s most insightful and beloved podcast. - Annabelle Lee

Peter Thiel will get dragged into the election. - Toby Manhire

Peter Thiel.
Peter Thiel. Photo credit: Getty

Spring will come. Pinkerton will not return. - Danyl Mclauchlan

Ardern will bring NZ First into the tent even if Labour and the Greens get over the line on their own. Māori-Labour Caucus will cause problems for the leadership as they fail to get big wins on Māori issues. And Pania Newton to win the seat of Tāmaki Makaurau. - Shane Te Pou

It’s going to be one of the most unpredictable elections in years. - Claire Robinson

Two of the five parties in parliament will change leader before the election. - Trish Sherson

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