National and Coalition partners ACT and NZ First slump in latest Taxpayers' Union - Curia Poll

  • 09/04/2024

Right-leaning political parties are seeing a slump in the latest Taxpayers' Union-Curia Poll

National is down on last month to 37.1 percent - a drop of 0.3 points - while its Coalition partners ACT and NZ First are also down.

ACT dropped back 2.8 points to 7.2 percent, and NZ First is down 1.1 points to 6.3 percent.

It's a different story in the left corner of Parliament, with Labour up slightly to 25.7 percent - a rise of 0.4 points.

The Green Party is in third for most popular, on 14.6 percent - a jump of 3.3 points - and Te Pāti Māori was also up 2.1 points on 4.6 percent.

For the minor parties, TOP was on 1.6 percent, Outdoors and Freedom was on 1.5 percent, Democracy NZ was on 0.3 percent, Vision NZ was on 0.2 percent, New Conservatives were on 0.2 percent, and the others combined were on 0.8 percent.

Party seats

When looking at what it means for seats in Parliament, National is down one seat to 47.

Its Coalition partners also saw drops - ACT has fallen to nine seats (down four) and NZ First dropped to eight (down one).

On these numbers, National and ACT would require the support of NZ First to form a Government. 

Meanwhile, in Opposition Labour is steady on 32 seats. 

The Greens rose to 18 seats (up three) and Te Pāti Māori is unchanged on six seats.

Given the higher vote for Te Pāti Māori in this poll, Parliament would have no overhang seats.

Preferred PM

When it comes to likability, both sides saw a slump in approval from Kiwis.

National's Christopher Luxon's net favourability was down two points on last month to -7 percent.

Scraping in with a marginally better score, Labour's Chris Hipkins's score is at -6 percent (down 8 points). It's the first time a Labour leader has had a negative net favourability in a Curia poll. 

However, the Chris' are not alone - our Coalition party leaders also took a dip.

ACT's David Seymour is down 3 points to -11 percent and NZ First's Winston Peters is down 6 points to -18 percent. 

The results are compared to last month's Taxpayers' Union Curia poll.

Curia Market Research Ltd conducted the poll for the NZ Taxpayers' Union. Curia is also the company that does National's internal polling.

It is a random poll of 1000 adult New Zealanders and is weighted to the overall adult population. 

The poll was conducted by phone (landlines and mobile) and online between April 2 and April 4, has a maximum margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent and 5.6 percent were undecided on the party vote question.