Green Party scandals reflected in new poll as Government maintains grasp on power

Support for the Green Party has slumped.
Support for the Green Party has slumped. Photo credit: Getty Images

Support for the Green Party has slumped following a string of controversies surrounding the Party's MPs, a new poll has found.

The Taxpayers' Union-Curia Poll for May, released on Friday, has found a drop in support for the Greens, with Labour picking up the losses - but on its numbers, it isn't enough for a change in Government.

The poll found National had a tiny increase in support, on 37.3 percent (up 0.2 points), when compared to last month.

Labour is up 4.3 points to 30 percent while the Greens are down by roughly the same amount to 10.2 percent (down 4.4 points).

The Greens remain just ahead of ACT which is on 9.4 percent (up 2.2 points). NZ First is at 5.5 percent (down 0.8 points), while Te Pāti Māori is down 1.5 points to 3.0 percent.

For the minor parties, TOP was on 1.4 percent, Outdoors and Freedom was on 1.1 percent, and the rest combined make up the remaining 2 percent. Just over 4 percent of voters were undecided after probing.

Taxpayers' Union – Curia Poll.
Taxpayers' Union – Curia Poll. Photo credit: Taxpayers' Union

When looking at what it means for seats in Parliament National would be on 47 seats, ACT on 12 seats (up three) and NZ First would be down one seat to seven. That's a combined projected 66 seats for the centre-right.

On these projections, Labour would pick up five seats to a total of 37, the Greens would drop to 13 seats (down five) and Te Pāti Māori would be unchanged on six seats. That's a total of 56 seats for the centre-left.

On these projections, assuming all electorate seats are held, the Government would remain the same with National and ACT still needing NZ First to form a Coalition. Parliament would have an overhang of two seats.

How these results would translate to seats in Parliament.
How these results would translate to seats in Parliament. Photo credit: Taxpayers' Union

When it comes to likability, Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has seen a big boost, up 15 points on last month to +8 percent. Labour leader Chris Hipkins also saw an increase, up five points to -1 percent.

David Seymour is up 4 points to -7 percent, while Winston Peters is up 13 points to -5 percent.

The poll comes after a turbulent time for the Greens, following MP Julie Anne Genter being referred to the Privileges Committee this week, accused of threatening and intimidating National Minister Matt Doocey after she yelled in his face during a debate in the House.

It is the fourth scandal to hit the Green Party in less than a year.

Last year, Dr Elizabeth Kerekere quit the party after bullying allegations surfaced about her behaviour towards other Green Party MPs, staff and members.

Then, at the start of this year, Golriz Ghahraman resigned after she was caught shoplifting. She has since pleaded guilty to four counts of shoplifting in Auckland District Court.

Darleen Tana has been stood down pending an investigation after her husband's company was accused of migrant exploitation.

Curia Market Research Ltd conducted the poll for the NZ Taxpayers' Union. Curia is also the company that does National's internal polling.

It is a random poll of 1000 adult New Zealanders and is weighted to the overall adult population. It was conducted by phone (landlines and mobile) and online between May 5 and May 7, 2024, has a maximum margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent and 4.2 percent were undecided on the party vote question.