Former Wallaby fullback Matthew Burke backs Australian for close victory in third Bledisloe Cup test

Former Wallaby Matthew Burke is predicting an upset in Saturday's third Bledisloe Cup match in Sydney. 

Burke is backing Australia to pull off a 16-15 victory and keep the series alive and a chance to win back the Bledisloe Cup for the first time in 16 years. 

"If you can keep New Zealand to 16 points or less, you go well in the game, so defence will be the key tonight," Burke tells Newshub. 

One of the most important aspects for the Wallabies will be stopping rampaging winger Caleb Clarke after he tore them to shreds in Auckland. 

"Time and space, deny him that. When he gets the ball, he gets tackled. When he gets momentum, he needs nearly a two-man tackle to bring him down."

Over the years one of the biggest issues the Wallabies have had is a complete belief they can beat a side like the All Blacks. Burke believes the culture Dave Rennie has installed in the squad goes a long way to giving the side that confidence. 

"We are all Aussie's now. Whether there was a separation or disconnect the last couple of years, certainly now what we are seeing is everyone is connecting incredibly well.

"Going into these games giving belief against a team like New Zealand is key. To look a bloke in the eye and say you are good enough to play on this stage and that's what they are doing.. 

"There has been a real change in psyche and that's what is happening at the moment." 

An area the All Blacks exploited at Eden Park was the mindset the Wallabies had on defence and miss tackles they made. 

"The tackles they were making, they were all trying to go for the glory shot, the big tackles that would make the end of season highlights," Burke says. 

"Sometimes you just need to make a hit, make a passive tackle and someone else gets onto the ball straight away."

"The focus today is pretty simple is to make sure you make the tackle, yes put some venom into it but stop the ball as well." 

With an injury to James O'Connor, young first-five Noah Lolesi will be making his test debut for the Wallabies in the white-hot heat of a Bledisloe Cup clash.

For the young-gun to go well he'll need much more support from his forwards than what O'Connor received in the New Zealand test matches.

"We look at that 9,10,12 it's a Brumbies combination, so they have some kind of click together but they need numbers one to eight to be going forward and going hard and making some inroads into the kiwi's defensive line."

A key to the Wallabies having success tonight is playing smart, not being too defensive and making the most of home advantage.

"When you play any high-quality opposition you can't rest on being defensive, so our guys are going to have to throw the ball around tonight and make some inroads but at the same time play smart," Burke says. 

Join us from 9:30pm Saturday for live updates of the third All Blacks v Australia Bledisloe Cup test