How big was the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai eruption?

The explosive eruption of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai volcano may be one of the largest recorded in such detail. The blast was visible from space, with images of the massive ash plume going viral over the following days. But just how big was it?

The underwater volcano erupted with a deafening explosion on Jan. 15, triggering deadly tsunamis, covering islands in ash, and knocking out communications for Tonga's 105,000 people

The event was captured in astonishing detail by satellites including the NOAA GOES-West satellite, shown below.

Breaking down the stages of the eruption into intervals allows us to plot the expansion of the enormous plume of material that volcanologists call an “umbrella cloud”.

Around the time of the initial eruption, a cloud measuring 38 km (24 miles) wide is thrust into the atmosphere. Its diameter already measures almost twice the length of Manhattan, New York. One hour later, it appears to measure around 650 km wide, including shock waves around its edge.

The scale of the umbrella cloud is comparable to the 1991 Pinatubo eruption in the Philippines and is one of largest of the satellite era, according to Michigan Tech volcanologist Simon Carn in a NASA blog post.

Different perspectives

The satellite images of the event show mostly ocean with scattered islands of Tonga and Fiji barely noticeable. Gauging the actual size of the eruption is difficult when in such a remote part of the South Pacific.

Here, we take the cloud of volcanic material and place it over well-known land masses and coastlines to get a true sense of just how big the eruption was.

At 650 km in diameter, the cloud would obscure most of Great Britain and the east coast of Ireland. It is almost the same size as mainland Spain.

The size of the eruption over if it happened in Spain
The size of the eruption over if it happened in Spain Photo credit: Reuters

When compared to parts of the U.S., it would cover a large part of Florida or a section of California from San Francisco to Los Angeles.

If we compare the scale of the eruption to Southeast Asia, it would cover Cambodia and part of Laos, Vietnam, and Thailand, or obscure almost all of North and South Korea.

 

If we placed the scale of the eruption over Egypt’s Mount Sinai region, it would cover Israel, spilling over into Jordan and the Mediterranean Sea. It is also large enough to obscure the Horn of Africa.

The scale of the eruption if it happened in Israel
The scale of the eruption if it happened in Israel Photo credit: Reuters

Scientists are still determining the Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of the eruption, a measurement from 1 to 8 that examines the explosivity of eruptions. Pinatubo, which is considered similar to the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Haʻapai eruption, scored a 6 on the index.

Pinatubo produced an eruption column of gas and ash that rose 40 km into the atmosphere, whereas “preliminary data on the Tongan eruption is that the gas and ash column was at least 20 km high,” said Raymod Cas, a volcanologist at Monash University in Australia.